Nate Silver – The man who turned polls into pop (Picture This#25)

This week Obama may have won the election but only one man has been left standing truly victorious –  Nate Silver. 

Mirror, mirror on the wall….(courtesy of fivethirtyeight)

Polling is not popular.  For those being polled – the people –  polls represent a crude distortion of an individual’s views. A door knock, handshake and a conversation replaced by a spreadsheet, script and headset. For those whom the polls are about – the politicians –  polls represent the barking ex-army drill inspector insisting that our leaders perform another stretch and adopt yet another untenable position. Apart from being vital, ubiquitous and influential, there is another characteristic about opinion polls which make them annoying –  they are often wrong.

Until this week that is. This week they have proved spectacularly right. Polling may never prove to be popular but for this news cycle at least, it could be argued that polls are now pop.

The 2012 US election has produced a concerted and intense critique of one pollster by one party. The party, Republican. The  pollster, Nate Silver. The outcome. Well, as Nate Silver would have himself predicted, a humiliating and galling defeat of a political movement by one slight, gay geek who is great with numbers. Continue reading

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Such bloody awful poetry – the words of The Smiths

Image courtesy of Smash Hits

Number 4 in our series of blogs on the best ideas The Smiths had, the ones that changed pop and people’s lives forever. In the first blog, we argued that the band’s best idea of all was breaking up and staying that way, forever protecting their legacy. Blog 2 celebrated the band’s extraordinary b-sides while blog 3 took on sex in The Smiths, arguing that innuendo often provided a life and humour that was a key element of the band’s appeal.

This brings us – inevitably – to The Smiths’ lyrics as one of their great, defining ideas. And they were an idea: when he sat in his room and drew up his plan, Morrissey accomplished something which not even many novelists manage, let alone pop lyricists – he deliberately and meticulously designed his own lexicon, a way with words that became for thousands a way of seeing the world.

In fact, it was only during the long, tricky process of writing this blog that we realised the full scale of Morrissey’s achievement. We knew that he was a great lyricist, of course: that’s an accepted fact even amongst those who otherwise loathe him. But it was only when we went through the songs line by line that we realised how much work had gone into them and yet how effortless they seemed.

Let’s start with an obvious but crucial fact: when you hear a great Smiths lyric you know it can only be The Smiths. Others have tried to ape Morrissey’s style – Gene being the most glaring example – but always end up looking like clumsy shoplifters. Only Morrissey can write something as ornate and eloquent as “what she read: all heady books, she’d sit and prophesise” and follow it immediately with the lascivious earthiness of “it took a tattooed boy from Birkenhead, to really really open her eyes.”

Note too the loving reference to Birkenhead, surely its only appearance in song. As with many novelists but few pop singers, location was always a crucial element of The Smiths’ early lyrical universe. The ruffians had to be from Rusholme, failure must mean Whalley Range and if Manchester has much to answer for, that’s because Morrissey is always asking it questions. It was Northern England, particularly the North West, that provided the grit and wit that grounded Morrissey’s more exalted language. The idioms were there from the start of their career (“stay on my arm you little charmer”) to the bitter end (“who said I lied because I never – I never”). Indeed, it can be argued that the further Morrissey removed himself geographically from his loved/hated Manchester, the less distinctive his lyrics became – as later lacklustre solo lyrics suggest.

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US Elections: The Greatest Story A Spreadsheet Ever Told

CNN’s election studio from the 2004 election (courtesy of CNN).

My mum caught me. “I don’t know why you watch this crap every year,” she muttered as she wandered into the kitchen during an ad break to Taggart, which was on in the front room.

I nodded, not in agreement but as a trigger to finally speak to someone, anyone, about what was unfolding before me in Malmo, host to 1992’s Eurovision Song Contest. “Malta have dropped off Mum. Not sure it’s a hit outside of your Mediterranean sweep. You need to pick up points away from your traditional blocks, like Ireland have actually.  And it looks as though Ireland could win actually.” I thought this was good news which would be warmly welcomed.

“Dad will be pleased,” I concluded.

Dad is Irish. He is also tone-deaf. Mum had left the room.

Ireland did win and I’m not sure I have heard the winning number since. I love Eurovision not for the songs, camp or quips. No, I love Eurovision for the numbers. From nil point to douze.  The lego bricks of each vote cast in each country, slowly taking shape into a pattern, a trend, and then a result. I realised then and have embraced the fact ever since. I love statistics.

The pinnacle of this fascination is an US or UK election night – when these numbers carry so much weight of mass and meaning.

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Lance Armstrong – Sport’s Number 1 Villain (Picture This #24)

This weekend we have applauded the heroism and bravery of Orlando Cruz, who won his big fight last night. However, Pop Lifer strives for balance. And sneaking up behind every hero is, of course, a villain…….

Lance Armstrong in 2005 after his 7th Tour de France victory (courtesy of AFP).

Before the Olympics, Pop Lifer identified sport’s #1 pantomime villain; Ben Johnson. He of the dead eyes and lively bloody samples. More than anyone he almost brought sprint racing to its knees. Between Johnson’s fall in 1988 and Usain Bolt’s rise twenty years later, the 100m final in Seoul was the inescapable reference point for every 100m final in between.

Well, Canadian Ben can step aside, John Terry can stop his frankly feeble attempt to grab the crown, Ashley Cole can stop tweeting, and Mike Tyson can stop nibbling ears because Lance Armstrong is sport’s new, unchallenged, top villain.

And in Pop Lifer’s view this is a good thing.

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Orlando Cruz wins his first big fight since coming out (Picture This #23)

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At 4am UK time we watched Orlando Cruz win his first big boxing match since he bravely came out as gay. It was a dominant victory over 12 rounds, and a unanimous decision by the judges. His next fight could land him the world featherweight title.

But a new star was also born, his mother, who told Telemundo “he’s my son 100% and now I love him more than ever.”

CONGRATULATIONS ORLANDO. You deserve this. May other frightened gay sports stars look to your example, your success, and tell the world who they are.

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Orlando Cruz and the big fight for a better future

Orlando Cruz – smile when you’re winning. Photo courtesy AP

As long time Pop Lifer readers will know, this blog was first set up in July of this year because we wanted a place to express our admiration for Frank Ocean, the wildly talented singer who had just revealed his first love had been a man. From the start we suspected this was a revolutionary moment, and that other gay men working in macho environments and not fitting any gay stereotypes might follow his lead, inspiring hundreds of thousands of young gay and bisexual kids. Sure enough, Orlando Cruz came out as a “proud gay man” just a couple of weeks ago. Here we consider what the two have in common and what this could mean for the future. A slightly longer version of the piece appears on the Huffington Post.

Tonight, boxer Orlando Cruz will step into the ring for the biggest fight of his professional life. If he can defeat Jorge Pazos, he’ll be just one step away from becoming featherweight world champion. No doubt he’ll be nervous – but then, Cruz is a courageous man. Just a fortnight ago he braced himself for an arguably bigger challenge – becoming the first actively competing boxer to announce that he was gay.

Just three months before, the wildly talented singer Frank Ocean made the equally unexpected revelation that his first love had been a man. Neither has said if their decisions were influenced by Barack Obama’s historic endorsement of gay marriage back in May, but all taken together it adds up to a remarkable surge forward in the decades-long push for gay visibility.

There are four striking similarities between Cruz and Ocean’s announcements. Firstly, the grace and beauty with which they spoke about their experiences. Ocean’s letter to the first man he fell for is an exquisitely evocative paean to young love, and how “when we were together the time glided”. If you haven’t read it, you really should. Cruz is also an eloquent soul, explaining to the Guardian this week that, “I have been living with this thorn inside me. I wanted to take it out of me.” Continue reading

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